Broken System: Bridgeport Primary Does Not Add Up

Summary: This article and the Bridgeport Primary expose the problems with a “system” that ignores and excuses discrepancies that are discovered. As we have often pointed out in post-election audit reports, ignoring and excusing away discrepancies means that if there is ever an error or a fraud it will not be recognized. In this case we will never know who actually won the Bridgeport Primary. We may have some penalties assessed by Elections Enforcement. All we know for sure is that this was not a reliable election, that voting integrity in Connecticut is far from assured and does not exist in Bridgeport.

ConnPost article by Bill Cummings: Voting Numbers Do Not Add Up <read>

In the midst of a heated court battle over last fall’s Democratic mayoral primary, state Rep. Christopher Caruso’s legal team asserted there were more votes than voters.

City officials and their lawyers scoffed at Caruso’s contention, calling it untrue and irresponsible.

However, a Connecticut Post examination of election records from the Sept. 11, 2007, primary shows there were more votes than voters — 105 more.

Continue reading “Broken System: Bridgeport Primary Does Not Add Up”

You Can’t Always Trust The Paper

When it comes to paper ballots, trust comes from:

  • An easy to understand ballot
  • A private ballot
  • A strong chain of custody
  • Transparent counting of the ballots, or sufficient transparent audits – followed by appropriate action

When it comes to media we need all the facts, correct facts, and many usually reliable sources of news. We can’t rely on even the New York Times to get simple facts straight. Bradblog summarizes the story as reperted in detail at Smirking Chimp <read>.

“In 2001 painstaking postmortems of the Florida count, one by The New York Times and another by a consortium of newspapers, concluded that Mr. Bush would have come out slightly ahead, even if all the votes counted throughout the state had been retallied.
— Alessandra Stanley, New York Times, May 23, 2008 in a review of the HBO television movie, Recount

That’s not true.

The New York Times did not do its own recount. It did participate in a consortium. Here’s what they actually said:

If all the ballots had been reviewed under any of seven single standards, and combined with the results of an examination of overvotes, Mr. Gore would have won, by a very narrow margin.
— Ford Fessenden And John M. Broder, New York Times, November 12, 2001

Why did Ms. Stanley make such an important and fundamental error?

It is not a trivial matter. It is a common piece of misinformation. Many, many people believe it. Now a few more do, as a result of Ms. Stanley’s review.

It is not a trivial matter. Because that misinformation was created by one of the most bizarre, and still completely unexplained, journalistic events in modern times.

Here’s what happened.

Hard to fathom the New York Times being exposed by a Chimp – worth remembering this the cautionary tale.

Tell Your Rep You Want Voter Integrity, Not Just Privacy!

Bysiewicz Urges Passage of S.B. 444 – We Urge Amendment #6141

Many of the changes necessary to start Connecticut on the road to stronger, effective audits that were in H.B. 5888 have now been offered as an amendment #6141 by Reps Caruso and Urban to S.B.444:

  • An Independent Audit Board
  • A Stronger Chain-of-Custody for Memory Cards, Optical Scanners and Ballots
  • 100% Independent Pre-Election Testing of Memory Cards

Continue reading “Tell Your Rep You Want Voter Integrity, Not Just Privacy!”

CTVotersCount Members Testify At GAE Hearing

On Friday 2/29/2008 the Government Administration And Elections Committee held hearings on a variety of bills, several of which involve election administration <Agenda>

While we have interests for and against some of the other bills, three members of CTVotersCount testified toward improvements in SB 444, AN ACT CONCERNING CERTAIN REVISIONS AND TECHNICAL CHANGES TO THE ELECTION LAWS.

Continue reading “CTVotersCount Members Testify At GAE Hearing”

Ten Myths In The Nutmeg State

Ten Myths About Electronic Voting In Connecticut: Myth #1 – Connecticut has the toughest and strongest audit law in the country because we audit 10%.

Ten Myths About Electronic Voting In Connecticut <.pdf>

Myth #1 – Connecticut has the toughest and strongest audit law in the country because we audit 10%.

Reality

  • Connecticut audits a maximum of 3 or 20% of races in 10% of the districts.  This is adequate only in the case of statewide races which are selected for the audit.
  • Questions, referendums, and special elections are exempt from audits.  Centrally scanned absentee ballots and all hand counted ballots also are exempt from the audits.
  • In a state representative race or municipal race, the probability of detecting an error or fraud is in the range of 2-4%.  This is far from sufficient.
  • Towns with only one district would have municipal races audited an average of once in 20 years.
  • Districts where there is an automatically recanvassed race or a contested race are exempt from audits – a state wide recanvass or contest would block all audits for the election in the entire state.
  • Selection of the races to be audited is not required to be public. Audits are public, yet have no statutory prior public notification requirement. 

Myth #2 – UConn reports of the post-election audits proved that our voting machines count accurately.

Reality

  • In 2010 Registrars reported 29 instances of differences between the machine and hand counts with differences ranging from 6 to 40 for a candidate, in a single district. The highest percentage discrepancies was 22%.  Such differences have continued at unacceptable levels, uninvestigated.
  • Without transparent investigations we can’t attribute the differences to either machine or human counting errors. Evidence for a complete investigation is no longer available as the ballots are no longer under seal.
  • Observations of the actual audits raise questions about the credibility of the data provided to UConn. In Aug 2012 31% of reports by towns did not contain data necessary to determine the outcome of the audit, and an additional six reports were lost or never filed with the Secretary of the State.

 

Myth #3 –Hand counting is prone to human error. Electronic voting is more reliable because computers produce the same result over and over again. We should abandon manual audits and just run the ballots through another similar machine to validate the count.

Reality

  • Computers and memory cards are programmed by humans and just as prone to human error.
  • An improperly programmed computer will miscount the vote over and over again.
  • Since all cards in a district should by definition contain exactly the same information, re-scanning on a similar machine would not detect erroneous or fraudulent programming.
  • People can determine voter intent more exactly.  They can produce an accurate/verifiable count given time, proper procedures, and controls.
  • However, it is likely that publicly verifiable, “software independent”, automated audits will be feasible.

 

Myth #4 – Auditing the paper by hand is too costly and time consuming.

Reality

  • A sufficient hand audit would cost between $0.25 and $0.50 per ballot cast for the largest elections in Connecticut – a small fraction of the cost of conducting an election ($5.00 to $20.00 per ballot cast).
  • The integrity of the vote and public confidence should drive decisions related to the conduct of elections.  Cost, speed, and inconvenience are important, yet secondary, considerations.

 

Myth #5 – We can rely on procedures to catch errors and ensure the integrity of elections.

Reality

  • Procedures are followed inconsistently, at best, sometimes not at all, and there is no enforceable penalty for failing to follow part or all of a procedure. Ballots and optical scanners have been left unsealed and unattended.  Ballots have been unsealed and audits begun before the stated start of “public” audits.
  • Only processes which are codified in the statutes are clearly enforceable.

Myth #6 Memory card errors cannot affect the outcome of our elections because election officials conduct pre-election testing of our electronic voting systems.

Reality

  • Pre-election testing cannot detect all errors and programming attacks. Pre-election testing of electronic voting systems will detect only basic errors such as ‘junk’ memory cards, wrong candidates, and machines that simply don’t work.
  • Computer science tells us it is impossible to test completely.  Recent academic reports continue to outline many ways that clever programming can circumvent detection during basic pre-election testing.

 

Myth #7 – We don’t have to worry about memory card problems because UConn tests the memory cards before and after each election.

Reality

  • UConn’s program is useful program, however, the trend is for fewer and fewer districts to send in cards for testing before and after the election. Selection is unlikely to be random.
  • Many districts fail to send memory to UConn cards for pre- and post-election testing. In the 2012 Presidential Primary, compliance in submitting cards by local officials ranged from 8% to 18%.
  • UConn reported that cards indicated that pre-election testing procedures continue not be followed consistently. How can we be sure the procedure for random selection of cards was followed?
  • Over the years the number of cards tested per election have declined and reports have been delayed.

 

Myth #8 – If we can trust our money to ATMs and online banking, we can trust our votes to computers.

Reality

  • Banks lose billions in online banking fraud every year. The savings ought weigh the costs to banks. Errors can be easily detected because the customer receives a receipt and the bank must account for all funds by double-entry bookkeeping.
  • Memory cards for elections are programmed differently for each town and every election because the races on the ballot and the candidates are different in each town and in each election.  In addition, voters cannot be issued any receipt to take with them because it would open the door to vote buying and intimidation.
  • The only public security test of an Internet voting system, in Washington D.C., was quickly compromised.
  • The only way to be sure the machines count correctly is to count enough of the paper to ensure that if fraud or error were to occur it would be detected. Secret voting precludes paper records for online voting.

 

Myth #9 – If there is ever a concern we can always count the paper.

Reality

The law limits when the paper can be counted.

  • Audits can protect against error or fraud only if enough of the paper is counted and discrepancies in the vote are investigated and acted upon in time to impact the outcome of the election.  See myths #1 and #2.
  • An automatic recanvass (recount) occurs when the winning vote margin is within 0.5%. The local Head Moderator moderator or the Secretary of the State can call for a recanvass, but even candidates must convince a court that there is sufficient reason for an actual recount.
  • Recounting by hand is not required by law. In early 2008 the Secretary of the State reversed her policy of hand recanvasses.  We now recanvass by optical scanner.
  • In 2010, the Citizen Recount showed huge discrepancies in Bridgeport, never recognized by the ‘system’.

 

Myth #10 The only way to ensure that all the votes are counted and that every vote counts is to count 100% of the paper.

Reality

Properly programmed scanners do a reasonable job of counting ballots.  The key to safe elections is to:

  1. Appoint an independent Audit Board with expertise in auditing and statistics to oversee the audits.
  2. Count enough of the ballots to detect and deter error or fraud.
  3. Investigate discrepancies and determine their cause, then take corrective and preventative action.
  4. Expand the audit when discrepancies are uncovered that have the potential to impact an election outcome
  5. Start and complete audits quickly so that data is preserved and the winners reflect the intent of the voters.
  6. Codify and enforce the process so violations can be prevented or surfaced and corrected.

 

Testimony – Nowalk Public Hearing

I testified for about ten minutes in two segments, one formal and one informal, at the Government Administration and Elections Committee Public Hearing in Norwalk. A separate blog on this site covers the flow as testimony at the Norwalk hearing, another the earlier Norwich hearing. Yesterday, I completed an expanded version of my testimony covering the issues I raised in a little more depth, two or three additional issues, along with some references. My complete testimony is available <here in .pdf> and below in html:

The Table of Contents:

The material up to and including “Summary Of Originally Prepared Testimony” is a slightly expanded version of my prepared remarks. Following that are items discussed informally or not covered verbally in the hearing.

One Change For The Better

Continue reading “Testimony – Nowalk Public Hearing”

Norwalk GAE Hearing

Testimony submitted and posted at GAE site.

Once again I have been procrastinating a bit in writing up the Norwalk GAE Public Hearing held last Thursday. The tone of the hearing was much different than the one in Norwich. This blog has a separate entry with my formal testimony.

In Norwich, for the most part, testimony was given by registrars, advocates, and citizens all criticizing aspects of the voting system, voting process, or suggesting improvements. There was no set time limit on speakers, however, most stayed under five minutes and one was asked to finish up after about that time. I am used to hearings at the Capitol with many speakers and a three minute limit, strictly enforced with the aid of an hour glass.

Continue reading “Norwalk GAE Hearing”